This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it’s in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to see it live. I’ve set the alarm and I will be up ready to sweat these early fights. DraftKings doesn’t have many large tournaments this week so that I will personally be playing more cash games and less GPPs. I will still have 3 GPP lineups but a lot of my investment that this week will probably be in money games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a few plays I like and my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a boring fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights usually score high as a whole and the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I usually search for 100 total points if I stack a struggle in cash and that I believe for this being a possible 5-rounds, it should score well over that. Should Edwards win this fight, it’s likely an early KO, and if that happens he’ll score quite high. If Cerrone wins, then he could lock up a entry or a knockout and that will easily 10x his price tag of $7.6k. But either way, you’ve got the winner at your lineup along with the ensured 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I believe this fight will be fun as long as it lasts and there ought to be a good amount of points added up until one of these two get finished. When it does go 5 rounds, then these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a series when he steps in the Octagon. He’s a fast pace fighter who scores well on DraftKings if he wins. I think he must be the better fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. In addition, I believe he can finish this battle on the feet or the ground and if this happens he would probably pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He’s the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and that I think he’s the maximum ceiling. That is what we desire in GPPs is a ceiling, so that’s why Jingliang is my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog drama of the week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favorite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His betting line has changed to him being a slight favorite at -120 however he is $400 cheaper than his competitor. I believe saving that $400 is a fantastic move in money or GPP games therefore that I like Yadong in all formats. I think Yadong will look to maintain this battle on the toes and search for that KO win. If he does get the win, then I think he should easily pay off that price tag and receive at least 10x.
Fade of this week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main difficulty with Pereira is that she’s too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points out of her and I think she desires get a finish to do that. I don’t see that happening and does Vegas with a +617 ITD line. She does not strike at a high enough speed or land sufficient takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my personal opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence for a good section of the fight and no issues are being scored when that happens. If she does that again , there is no way she even comes close to 88 points even with a win. I have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will compensate for other favorites instead.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each struggle, my private approaches & suggestions, and also my selection prediction for every struggle then it is possible to discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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